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The hazards of smoking and the benefits of stopping Original publications

Mortality in relation to smoking: 50 years’ observations on male British doctors
(PDF: 0.7Mb)
Doll R, Peto R, Boreham J, Sutherland I. BMJ 2004
• gives the final 50-year results from Richard Doll’s study of smoking and death in British doctors, showing the full hazards of persistent cigarette smoking (about 10 years loss of life expectancy) and the benefits of stopping at 60, 50, 40 or 30 years of age (gaining 3, 6, 9 or almost the full 10 years)

Mortality from tobacco in developed countries: indirect estimation from national vital statistics (PDF: 0.8Mb)
Peto R, Lopez A, Boreham J, Thun M, Heath C Jr. Lancet 1992
• described how to make indirect use of national disease-specific mortality rates to estimate tobacco-attributed mortality

Mortality from smoking in developed countries 1950-2000
Peto R, Lopez A, Boreham J, Thun M, Heath C Jr. Oxford University Press 1994
• first edition of the monograph that gave detailed tabulations of tobacco-attributed mortality in each developed country (using the 1992 methods)

Mortality from smoking in developed countries 1950-2000 (2nd edition) (PDF: 3.5Mb)
Peto R, Lopez A, Boreham J, Thun M. June 2006
second edition of the monograph using the same 1992 methods, but applying them to mortality data updated to the year 2000



Country comparisons

Six sets of pairs of pages from the monograph can be viewed. Each set contains one pair of pages for each country (and grouping of countries), to facilitate comparisons between different populations.

For the effects of smoking, main findings and trends:
Main tables and population risks: smoking-attributed & total deaths (PDF: 0.3Mb)

Trends in annual nos. of deaths: smoking-attributed and total
(PDF: 0.3Mb)

Trends in annual death rates (all-cause and all cancer): total, smoking-attributed & not
(PDF: 0.7Mb)

For overall mortality rates, irrespective of smoking:
Disease-specific mortality by age and sex, year 2000
(PDF: 0.5Mb)

Mortality trends at selected ages: cancer, vascular, respiratory & all causes (PDF: 1.3Mb)

For finer details of smoking-attributed deaths:
Detailed estimates of smoking-attributed deaths by age, sex and disease (PDF: 0.4Mb)

The above material resides on the website of the Clinical Trial Service Unit & Epidemiological Studies Unit at the University of Oxford

shim Countries
Australia
Austria
Belarus
Belgium
Bulgaria
Canada
Croatia
Czech Republic
Denmark
Estonia
Finland
France
Germany
Greece
Hungary
Ireland
Italy
Japan
Latvia
Lithuania
Luxembourg
Malta
FYR Macedonia
Moldova
Netherlands
New Zealand
Norway
Poland
Portugal
Romania
Russian Federation
Serbia & Montenegro
Slovakia
Slovenia
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
Ukraine
United Kingdom
United States

Groupings
All developed countries
Central Asia (8 countries)
European Union:
EU25 (current)
EU15 (pre-2004)
EU10 (2004 accession)

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Countries and groupings of countries
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Link to Russian PowerPoint
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Original publications and country comparisons
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Credits
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Contact
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